Cal St. Northridge
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,661  Katie Alvarenga JR 22:10
1,789  Jasmine Vasquez SR 22:19
2,349  Serena Garcia FR 23:01
2,363  Kimberly Newton SR 23:03
2,476  Bianca Fraust SO 23:13
2,691  Heidi Eligio FR 23:39
2,750  Sonsoles Barba FR 23:45
3,023  Cynthia Kelso SO 24:41
National Rank #267 of 348
West Region Rank #37 of 40
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 38th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Katie Alvarenga Jasmine Vasquez Serena Garcia Kimberly Newton Bianca Fraust Heidi Eligio Sonsoles Barba Cynthia Kelso
UCR Invitational 09/16 1327 22:04 22:25 23:56 23:10 22:59 23:53 23:33 24:47
Mustang Challenge 09/30 1421 22:16 23:05 24:32 23:57 23:45
UCR Highlander Invitational 10/14 1296 22:09 22:16 22:53 22:49 22:54 23:31 23:58 24:50
Big West Championship 10/28 1289 22:06 21:50 22:44 22:51 23:01 23:21 23:42





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 36.8 1058 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Alvarenga 175.8
Jasmine Vasquez 188.4
Serena Garcia 229.9
Kimberly Newton 230.8
Bianca Fraust 236.3
Heidi Eligio 247.9
Sonsoles Barba 250.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 0.1% 0.1 28
29 0.3% 0.3 29
30 0.8% 0.8 30
31 1.1% 1.1 31
32 2.5% 2.5 32
33 4.1% 4.1 33
34 5.9% 5.9 34
35 7.6% 7.6 35
36 11.9% 11.9 36
37 18.0% 18.0 37
38 27.4% 27.4 38
39 20.6% 20.6 39
40 0.1% 0.1 40
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0